Polls

With six days remaining until N.H. voters head to the polls, Trump and Sanders have commanding leads. On the Republican side, Sen. Marco Rubio has gained slowly, but steadily, increasing two points each day since the poll’s release on Feb. 1. It remains to be seen whether Rubio will continue to rise after a strong showing in Iowa. He needs big gains in order to get close to Trump’s steady 38 percent. For the Democrats, Sen. Bernie Sanders has polled over 60 percent in every day of our tracking poll. While Hillary Clinton was able to beat the odds and win the 2008 primary despite trailing in every poll, it remains to be seen if she can mount such a comeback for this election.

Highlights (pdf)

Topline (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)

Democrats are considerably more certain in their vote choices, with only 19 percent of Sanders voters and 21 percent of Clinton voters saying that they could change their mind between now and Election Day. But among Republicans, there is considerably less certainty with 44 percent reporting that they could still change their mind. Trump supporters are still the most certain at 69 percent, but this number is down 3 points from yesterday. Iowa offers a clarifying mechanism for suggesting such changes and we will be paying close attention to these changes in the day ahead.    

Highlights (pdf)

Topline (pdf)

Methodology (pdf)